Longevity Risk Assessment Tool (Conceptual Simulator)

Personal & Retirement Setup

$
$

Financial Assumptions

%
%

Spending Plan & Longevity Scenarios

$
This amount will be adjusted for inflation annually from retirement start.

Longevity Planning Ages

Must be greater than or equal to Primary Planning Age.

Longevity Risk Assessment & Projections

Longevity risk assessment summary will appear here.

Portfolio Value Over Time (Nominal & Real)

Portfolio value chart appears here.

Year-by-Year Projection Details:

Projection table will appear here.

Projection table.

'; return; } const r = lrisk_results; const s = r.summary; const i = r.inputsSnapshot; const yearsToRetirement = i.retirementAge - i.currentAge; let longevityMsgPrimary = ""; if (s.lastsThroughPrimary) { longevityMsgPrimary = `Portfolio is projected to last until Primary Planning Age (${i.primaryPlanningAge}).`; } else { longevityMsgPrimary = `Portfolio projected to deplete in Simulation Year ${s.portfolioDepletionSimYear} (Age ${i.currentAge + s.portfolioDepletionSimYear -1}), BEFORE Primary Planning Age (${i.primaryPlanningAge}).`; } let longevityMsgExtended = ""; if (i.extendedPlanningAge > i.primaryPlanningAge) { if (s.lastsThroughExtended) { longevityMsgExtended = `Portfolio also projected to last until Extended Planning Age (${i.extendedPlanningAge}).`; } else if (s.portfolioDepletionSimYear !== null && s.portfolioDepletionSimYear <= (yearsToRetirement + (i.extendedPlanningAge - i.retirementAge))) { longevityMsgExtended = `Portfolio projected to deplete in Simulation Year ${s.portfolioDepletionSimYear} (Age ${i.currentAge + s.portfolioDepletionSimYear -1}), BEFORE Extended Planning Age (${i.extendedPlanningAge}).`; } else { // Lasts past primary but we didn't check extended specifically because depletion was beyond its scope or it matched primary longevityMsgExtended = "Extended lifespan not significantly beyond primary or portfolio sustained."; } } summaryDiv.innerHTML = `

Longevity Risk Assessment Summary

Portfolio Longevity (Primary Age ${i.primaryPlanningAge}): ${longevityMsgPrimary}
${i.extendedPlanningAge > i.primaryPlanningAge ? `
Portfolio Longevity (Extended Age ${i.extendedPlanningAge}): ${longevityMsgExtended}
` : ''}
Projected Nominal Value at Age ${i.primaryPlanningAge}: ${lrisk_formatCurrency(s.finalValueAtPrimaryAgeNominal)}
Projected Real Value at Age ${i.primaryPlanningAge} (Today's $): ${lrisk_formatCurrency(s.finalValueAtPrimaryAgeReal)}
${i.extendedPlanningAge > i.primaryPlanningAge ? `
Projected Nominal Value at Age ${i.extendedPlanningAge}: ${lrisk_formatCurrency(s.finalValueAtExtendedAgeNominal)}
Projected Real Value at Age ${i.extendedPlanningAge} (Today's $): ${lrisk_formatCurrency(s.finalValueAtExtendedAgeReal)}
` : ''}
Total Nominal Withdrawals (Retirement): ${lrisk_formatCurrency(s.totalNominalWithdrawals)}
Total Real Withdrawals (Retirement, Today's $): ${lrisk_formatCurrency(s.totalRealWithdrawals)}
`; const nominalValues = [i.initialSavings].concat(r.projectionsTable.map(p => p.endValueNominal)); const realValues = [i.initialSavings].concat(r.projectionsTable.map(p => p.endValueReal)); const totalSimYears = yearsToRetirement + i.retirementDurationYears; lrisk_renderDualLineChart(nominalValues, realValues, 'Portfolio Value ($)', valueChartContainer, 'Nominal Value', 'Real Value', '#A78BFA', '#6EE7B7', totalSimYears); let tableHTML = ``; r.projectionsTable.forEach(p => { tableHTML += ``; }); tableHTML += `
Sim.YearAgePhaseStart(N)Contrib(N)Withdraw(N)Growth(N)End(N)End(Real)
${p.simYear}${p.age}${p.phase} ${lrisk_formatCurrency(p.startValueNominal)} ${lrisk_formatCurrency(p.contributionNominal)} ${lrisk_formatCurrency(p.netWithdrawalNominal)} ${lrisk_formatCurrency(p.growthNominal)} ${lrisk_formatCurrency(p.endValueNominal)} ${lrisk_formatCurrency(p.endValueReal)}
`; tableContainer.innerHTML = tableHTML; const pdfBtn = document.getElementById('lrisk_downloadPdfButton'); if(pdfBtn) pdfBtn.style.display = 'block'; } function lrisk_renderDualLineChart(data1, data2, yAxisLabel, container, label1, label2, color1, color2, xMaxOverride) { // This function is identical to iprpm_renderDualLineChart. For brevity, assume it's defined as in the IPRPM tool. // If separate styling or logic is needed, it would be defined here. // For now, let's use a simplified placeholder or reuse the IPRPM one conceptually. container.innerHTML = ''; const svgWidth = Math.min(800, (lrisk_getEl('lriskContainer_main').offsetWidth || 400) - 60); const svgHeight = 280; const m = {top: 20, right: 110, bottom: 40, left: 75}; const w = svgWidth - m.left - m.right; const h = svgHeight - m.top - m.bottom; const allYValues = data1.concat(data2); const yMin = Math.min(0, ...allYValues.filter(v=>!isNaN(v) && v !== null && isFinite(v))); const yMax = Math.max(...allYValues.filter(v=>!isNaN(v) && v !== null && isFinite(v)), 0.01); const xMax = xMaxOverride !== null ? xMaxOverride : Math.max(data1.length -1, data2.length -1); const xScale = x => (x / (xMax === 0 ? 1 : xMax)) * w; const yScale = y => h - ((y - yMin) / (yMax - yMin === 0 ? 1 : yMax - yMin)) * h; let path1Data = data1.length > 0 ? "M" + data1.map((val, i) => `${xScale(i).toFixed(2)},${yScale(val).toFixed(2)}`).join(" L") : ""; let path2Data = data2 && data2.length > 0 ? "M" + data2.map((val, i) => `${xScale(i).toFixed(2)},${yScale(val).toFixed(2)}`).join(" L") : ""; container.innerHTML = ` Simulation Years (0 - ${xMax}) ${yAxisLabel} ${lrisk_formatCurrency(yMax,0)} ${lrisk_formatCurrency(yMin,0)} ${path1Data ? `` : ''} ${path2Data ? `` : ''} ${label1} ${path2Data ? ` ${label2}` : ''} `; } // --- PDF Generation --- function lrisk_downloadPDF() { if (!lrisk_results) { alert("Please run the simulation first."); return; } if (typeof window.jspdf === 'undefined' || typeof window.jspdf.jsPDF === 'undefined') { alert('Core PDF library (jsPDF) is not loaded.'); console.error('jsPDF library not found.'); return; } const { jsPDF: JSPDF } = window.jspdf; const doc = new JSPDF('landscape'); if (typeof doc.autoTable !== 'function') { alert('PDF Table plugin (jsPDF-AutoTable) not loaded correctly. Tables in PDF may be missing.'); console.error('doc.autoTable is not a function.'); } let y = 15; const m = 10; const r = lrisk_results; const i = r.inputsSnapshot; const yearsToRetirement = i.retirementAge - i.currentAge; const totalSimYears = yearsToRetirement + i.retirementDurationYears; function addLine(text, size, style = 'normal', indent = 0, spacing = 2.5) { const cw = doc.internal.pageSize.getWidth() - (2 * m); if (y > 185 && size > 8) { doc.addPage(); y = m; } else if (y > 190) { doc.addPage(); y = m; } doc.setFontSize(size); doc.setFont(undefined, style); const lines = doc.splitTextToSize(text, cw - indent); doc.text(lines, m + indent, y); y += (lines.length * (size * 0.35)) + spacing; } addLine(`Longevity Risk Assessment Report`, 16, 'bold', 0, 5); addLine(`Report Date: ${new Date().toLocaleDateString()}`, 9, 'italic', 0, 5); addLine("Initial Setup & Assumptions:", 11, 'bold', 0, 3); let inputData = [ ["Current Age:", `${i.currentAge} yrs`, "Retirement Age:", `${i.retirementAge} yrs`], ["Planned Retirement Duration:", `${i.retirementDurationYears} yrs (to age ${i.retirementAge + i.retirementDurationYears})`], ["Primary Planning Age:", `${i.primaryPlanningAge} yrs`, "Extended Planning Age:", `${i.extendedPlanningAge} yrs`], ["Initial Savings:", lrisk_formatCurrency(i.initialSavings), "Desired Legacy:", lrisk_formatCurrency(i.desiredLegacy)], ["Annual Other Income (Nominal):", lrisk_formatCurrency(i.annualOtherIncomeNominal), "Other Income COLA:", i.otherIncomeCola ? 'Yes':'No'], ["Portfolio Nominal E(R):", lrisk_formatPercent(i.expectedNominalReturn*100), "Annual Inflation (CPI):", lrisk_formatPercent(i.inflationRate*100)], ["Desired Annual Spending (Today's $):", lrisk_formatCurrency(i.desiredAnnualSpendingTodayDollars), "", ""] ]; if (typeof doc.autoTable === 'function') { doc.autoTable({startY: y, body: inputData, theme: 'plain', styles:{fontSize:8, cellPadding:1}, columnStyles:{0:{fontStyle:'bold'}, 2:{fontStyle:'bold'}}}); y = doc.lastAutoTable.finalY + 5; } else { inputData.forEach(row => addLine(`${row[0]} ${row[1]} | ${row[2]} ${row[3] || ''}`, 8)); y+=5; } addLine("Longevity Risk Summary:", 11, 'bold', 0, 3); const s = r.summary; let summaryData = [ ["Portfolio Depletion Simulation Year:", s.portfolioDepletionSimYear ? `Year ${s.portfolioDepletionSimYear} (Age ${i.currentAge + s.portfolioDepletionSimYear -1})` : "Lasts Full Simulation"], [`Lasts through Primary Age (${i.primaryPlanningAge})?:`, s.lastsThroughPrimary ? "Yes" : "No"], i.extendedPlanningAge > i.primaryPlanningAge ? [`Lasts through Extended Age (${i.extendedPlanningAge})?:`, s.lastsThroughExtended ? "Yes" : "No"] : ["Extended Age Same as Primary",""], ["Final Nominal Portfolio Value:", lrisk_formatCurrency(s.finalNominalValue)], ["Final Real Portfolio Value (Today's $):", lrisk_formatCurrency(s.finalRealValue)], ["Meets Desired Legacy:", s.meetsLegacy ? "Yes" : "No"], ["Total Nominal Withdrawals (Retirement):", lrisk_formatCurrency(s.totalNominalWithdrawals)], ["Total Real Withdrawals (Retirement, Today's $):", lrisk_formatCurrency(s.totalRealWithdrawals)], ]; if (typeof doc.autoTable === 'function') { doc.autoTable({startY: y, body: summaryData, theme: 'plain', styles:{fontSize:8, cellPadding:1}, columnStyles:{0:{fontStyle:'bold'}}}); y = doc.lastAutoTable.finalY + 6; } else { summaryData.forEach(row => addLine(`${row[0]} ${row[1]}`, 8)); y+=5; } if (y > 180 && r.projectionsTable.length > 5) {doc.addPage(); y=m;} addLine(`Year-by-Year Projections (Excerpt if long):`, 10, 'bold', 0, 3); const head = [['Sim.Yr', 'Age', 'Phase', 'Start(N)', 'OtherInc(N)', 'SpendNeed(N)', 'NetWithdraw(N)', 'Growth(N)', 'End(N)', 'End(Real)']]; const maxPdfRows = 15; const getExcerpt = (projections) => { if (projections.length <= maxPdfRows) return projections; const half = Math.floor(maxPdfRows/2); const midStartIndex = Math.max(0, Math.floor(projections.length/2) - Math.floor(maxPdfRows/6)); const midEndIndex = Math.min(projections.length, midStartIndex + Math.ceil(maxPdfRows/3)); const startSlice = projections.slice(0, Math.floor(maxPdfRows/3)); const midSlice = projections.slice(midStartIndex, midEndIndex); const endSlice = projections.slice(projections.length - Math.floor(maxPdfRows/3)); const combined = [...startSlice, ...midSlice, ...endSlice]; return combined.filter((v,idx,a) => a.findIndex(t=>(t.simYear === v.simYear))===idx); }; let body = getExcerpt(r.projectionsTable).map(p => [ p.simYear, p.age, p.phase.substring(0,10), p.startValueNominal.toFixed(0), p.otherIncomeNominal.toFixed(0), p.spendingNominal.toFixed(0), p.netWithdrawalNominal.toFixed(0), p.growthNominal.toFixed(0), p.endValueNominal.toFixed(0), p.endValueReal.toFixed(0) ]); if (typeof doc.autoTable === 'function') { doc.autoTable({ startY: y, head: head, body: body, theme: 'grid', headStyles: { fillColor: [245,158,11], textColor: 255, fontSize: 6.5, cellPadding: 1 }, styles: { fontSize: 6, cellPadding: 1, halign: 'right', overflow:'linebreak' }, columnStyles: { 0: { halign: 'center', fontStyle: 'bold'}, 1: {halign:'center'}, 2:{halign:'left', cellWidth:18} } }); y = doc.lastAutoTable.finalY + 7; } else { addLine("Projection table cannot be generated (plugin issue).", 8, 'italic'); y+=5;} if (y > 275) { doc.addPage(); y = m; } addLine("Note: This is a conceptual simulator based on user-defined assumptions (deterministic returns, constant inflation). It does not account for taxes or specific investment risks and is not financial advice.", 7, 'italic'); doc.save(`LongevityRisk_Analysis.pdf`); }
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