Projected Annual GDP (under risk): $${projectedGdp.toLocaleString('en-US', { maximumFractionDigits: 0 })}

Estimated GDP Impact: $${gdpReductionAbsolute.toLocaleString('en-US', { maximumFractionDigits: 0 })} reduction

Projected Economic Growth Rate: ${projectedGrowthRate.toFixed(2)}%

Adjusted Recovery Period: ${adjustedRecoveryTime.toFixed(1)} months

Overall Risk Assessment:

Assessment: ${overallRiskAssessment} Risk

${recommendation}

Note: This model provides a simplified, conceptual estimate of the impact of global trade and geopolitical risks. Real-world analysis involves highly complex, dynamic, and interconnected factors requiring extensive data, advanced econometric models, and expert qualitative assessment. It should be used for illustrative purposes only and not as a substitute for professional strategic or economic analysis.

`; } // PDF Download Functionality downloadPdfBtn.addEventListener('click', function() { const { jsPDF } = window.jspdf; const doc = new jsPDF(); // Recalculate values for PDF to ensure consistency const currentTradeVolume = parseFloat(currentTradeVolumeInput.value); const keySupplyRegions = parseFloat(keySupplyRegionsInput.value); const avgSupplyDependency = parseFloat(avgSupplyDependencyInput.value) / 100; const currentGdp = parseFloat(currentGdpInput.value); const geopoliticalRiskScore = parseFloat(geopoliticalRiskScoreInput.value); const initialGrowthRate = parseFloat(initialGrowthRateInput.value); const tradeReductionPerRisk = parseFloat(tradeReductionPerRiskInput.value) / 100; const scDisruptionImpact = parseFloat(scDisruptionImpactInput.value) / 100; const gdpImpactMultiplier = parseFloat(gdpImpactMultiplierInput.value); const avgRecoveryPeriod = parseFloat(avgRecoveryPeriodInput.value); const mitigationInvestmentGdp = parseFloat(mitigationInvestmentGdpInput.value); const mitigationEffectiveness = parseFloat(mitigationEffectivenessInput.value); const geopoliticalTradeReductionAbsolute = currentTradeVolume * (geopoliticalRiskScore * tradeReductionPerRisk); const projectedTradeVolume_geopolitical = currentTradeVolume - geopoliticalTradeReductionAbsolute; const vulnerableTradeVolume = currentTradeVolume * avgSupplyDependency; const supplyChainLossAbsolute = vulnerableTradeVolume * scDisruptionImpact; const projectedTradeVolume_SC = currentTradeVolume - supplyChainLossAbsolute; const totalProjectedTradeVolume = Math.min(projectedTradeVolume_geopolitical, projectedTradeVolume_SC); const totalTradeReductionAbsolute = currentTradeVolume - totalProjectedTradeVolume; const totalTradeReductionPercentage = (totalTradeReductionAbsolute / currentTradeVolume) * 100; const initialGrowthFactor = 1 + (initialGrowthRate / 100); const potentialGdpNoDisruption = currentGdp * initialGrowthFactor; const gdpReductionAbsolute = (totalTradeReductionPercentage / 100) * currentGdp * gdpImpactMultiplier; const projectedGdp = currentGdp - gdpReductionAbsolute; const projectedGrowthRate = ((projectedGdp - currentGdp) / currentGdp) * 100; let adjustedRecoveryTime = avgRecoveryPeriod; const recoveryTimeReduction = avgRecoveryPeriod * mitigationInvestmentGdp * mitigationEffectiveness; adjustedRecoveryTime = Math.max(1, avgRecoveryPeriod - recoveryTimeReduction); let overallRiskAssessment = "Low"; let recommendation = "Maintain current strategies. Consider proactive monitoring for emerging risks."; if (totalTradeReductionPercentage >= 10 || (currentGdp - projectedGdp) >= (currentGdp * 0.05)) { overallRiskAssessment = "High"; recommendation = "Immediate and robust mitigation strategies are recommended. Focus on supply chain diversification, strategic stockpiling, and enhancing geopolitical intelligence. Prepare contingency plans for severe disruptions."; } else if (totalTradeReductionPercentage >= 3 || (currentGdp - projectedGdp) >= (currentGdp * 0.01)) { overallRiskAssessment = "Medium"; recommendation = "Review and strengthen existing mitigation strategies. Explore opportunities for near-shoring or friend-shoring. Increase resilience in critical supply chain nodes."; } // PDF Content Setup doc.setFontSize(22); doc.setTextColor(30, 64, 138); // Dark Blue doc.text("Global Trade & Geopolitical Risk Impact Report", 105, 20, null, null, "center"); doc.setFontSize(12); doc.setTextColor(55, 65, 81); // Gray-700 let y = 30; // Inputs Section doc.setFontSize(16); doc.setTextColor(30, 64, 138); // Dark Blue doc.text("1. Input Parameters", 20, y += 15); doc.setFontSize(12); doc.setTextColor(55, 65, 81); // Gray-700 doc.autoTable({ startY: y + 5, head: [['Parameter', 'Value ($)']], body: [ ['Current Annual Trade Volume', `$${currentTradeVolume.toLocaleString('en-US', { maximumFractionDigits: 0 })}`], ['Number of Key Supply Chain Regions', keySupplyRegions.toLocaleString('en-US')], ['Average Supply Chain Dependency (%)', (avgSupplyDependency * 100).toFixed(2)], ['Current Annual GDP', `$${currentGdp.toLocaleString('en-US', { maximumFractionDigits: 0 })}`], ['Geopolitical Risk Score (1-10)', geopoliticalRiskScore.toLocaleString('en-US')], ['Initial Economic Growth Rate (%)', initialGrowthRate.toFixed(2)] ], theme: 'grid', styles: { fillColor: [243, 244, 246] }, // Light gray background headStyles: { fillColor: [59, 130, 246], textColor: [255, 255, 255] }, // Blue header margin: { left: 20, right: 20 } }); y = doc.autoTable.previous.finalY; // Assumptions Section doc.setFontSize(16); doc.setTextColor(30, 64, 138); // Dark Blue doc.text("2. Model Assumptions", 20, y += 15); doc.setFontSize(12); doc.setTextColor(55, 65, 81); // Gray-700 doc.autoTable({ startY: y + 5, head: [['Assumption', 'Value']], body: [ ['Trade Volume Reduction per Risk Score Point (%)', (tradeReductionPerRisk * 100).toFixed(2)], ['Supply Chain Disruption Impact (% of dependent trade)', (scDisruptionImpact * 100).toFixed(2)], ['GDP Impact Multiplier (per 1% trade reduction)', gdpImpactMultiplier.toFixed(2)], ['Average Recovery Period (Months)', avgRecoveryPeriod.toFixed(0)], ['Mitigation Investment (% of GDP)', (mitigationInvestmentGdp * 100).toFixed(2)], ['Mitigation Effectiveness Factor (0.0 - 1.0)', mitigationEffectiveness.toFixed(2)] ], theme: 'grid', styles: { fillColor: [243, 244, 246] }, headStyles: { fillColor: [59, 130, 246], textColor: [255, 255, 255] }, margin: { left: 20, right: 20 } }); y = doc.autoTable.previous.finalY; // Results Section doc.setFontSize(16); doc.setTextColor(30, 64, 138); // Dark Blue doc.text("3. Impact Assessment Results", 20, y += 15); doc.setFontSize(12); doc.setTextColor(55, 65, 81); // Gray-700 doc.autoTable({ startY: y + 5, head: [['Metric', 'Value']], body: [ ['Initial Annual Trade Volume', `$${currentTradeVolume.toLocaleString('en-US', { maximumFractionDigits: 0 })}`], ['Projected Annual Trade Volume (under risk)', `$${totalProjectedTradeVolume.toLocaleString('en-US', { maximumFractionDigits: 0 })}`], ['Estimated Trade Volume Reduction', `${totalTradeReductionPercentage.toFixed(2)}% ($${totalTradeReductionAbsolute.toLocaleString('en-US', { maximumFractionDigits: 0 })})`], ['Initial Annual GDP', `$${currentGdp.toLocaleString('en-US', { maximumFractionDigits: 0 })}`], ['Projected Annual GDP (under risk)', `$${projectedGdp.toLocaleString('en-US', { maximumFractionDigits: 0 })}`], ['Estimated GDP Impact', `$${gdpReductionAbsolute.toLocaleString('en-US', { maximumFractionDigits: 0 })} reduction`], ['Projected Economic Growth Rate', `${projectedGrowthRate.toFixed(2)}%`], ['Adjusted Recovery Period', `${adjustedRecoveryTime.toFixed(1)} months`] ], theme: 'grid', styles: { fillColor: [243, 244, 246] }, headStyles: { fillColor: [59, 130, 246], textColor: [255, 255, 255] }, margin: { left: 20, right: 20 } }); y = doc.autoTable.previous.finalY; doc.setFontSize(14); // Set text color based on risk assessment for PDF let pdfRiskColor; if (overallRiskAssessment === "High") { pdfRiskColor = [220, 38, 38]; // Red } else if (overallRiskAssessment === "Medium") { pdfRiskColor = [234, 88, 12]; // Orange } else { pdfRiskColor = [22, 163, 74]; // Green } doc.setTextColor(pdfRiskColor[0], pdfRiskColor[1], pdfRiskColor[2]); doc.text(`Overall Risk Assessment: ${overallRiskAssessment} Risk`, 20, y += 15); doc.setTextColor(55, 65, 81); // Gray-700 doc.setFontSize(12); doc.text("Recommendation:", 20, y += 10); const splitRecommendation = doc.splitTextToSize(recommendation, 170); // Max width for text doc.text(splitRecommendation, 20, y += 7); y += (splitRecommendation.length * 5) + 5; // Adjust Y for text height doc.setFontSize(10); doc.setTextColor(107, 114, 128); // Gray-500 const disclaimer = "Note: This model provides a simplified, conceptual estimate of the impact of global trade and geopolitical risks. Real-world analysis involves highly complex, dynamic, and interconnected factors requiring extensive data, advanced econometric models, and expert qualitative assessment. It should be used for illustrative purposes only and not as a substitute for professional strategic or economic analysis."; const splitDisclaimer = doc.splitTextToSize(disclaimer, 170); doc.text(splitDisclaimer, 20, y += 15); doc.save('Global_Trade_Geopolitical_Risk_Report.pdf'); }); // Initialize the first tab as active on load activateTab(0); });