Public Sentiment: ${getSelectText('publicSentiment')}

Regulatory Clarity: ${getSelectText('regulatoryClarity')}

Prediction Horizon: ${getSelectText('predictionHorizon')}

`; // --- Heuristic Prediction Logic --- let overallScore = 0; overallScore += (scores.techMaturity[inputs.techMaturity] || 0) * 0.1; overallScore += (scores.institutionType[inputs.institutionType] || 0) * 0.20; overallScore += (scores.adoptionNature[inputs.adoptionNature] || 0) * 0.25; overallScore += (scores.adoptionScale[inputs.adoptionScale] || 0) * 0.30; overallScore += (scores.publicSentiment[inputs.publicSentiment] || 0) * 0.1; // Sentiment can be positive or negative overallScore += (scores.regulatoryClarity[inputs.regulatoryClarity] || 0) * 0.15; // Clarity can be positive or negative const marketCap = parseFloat(inputs.marketCap); if (marketCap < 1000000000) overallScore *= 1.1; // Higher % impact potential for smaller caps if (marketCap > 50000000000) overallScore *= 0.9; // Harder to move large caps significantly // Adjustments for specific combinations if (inputs.institutionType === 'etf_provider' && inputs.adoptionNature === 'etf_investment') { overallScore += 1; // ETF launch is typically very impactful } if (inputs.regulatoryClarity === 'very_high' && scores.adoptionScale[inputs.adoptionScale] >= 4) { overallScore += 0.5; // High clarity + large scale is a strong positive } if (inputs.regulatoryClarity === 'very_low' && scores.adoptionScale[inputs.adoptionScale] >= 3) { overallScore -= 1; // Very low clarity + significant investment is high risk } // --- Generate Predicted Impacts HTML --- let impactsHTML = ""; let keyDriversText = ""; let risksCaveatsText = ""; // Overall Predicted Impact let overallImpact = { text: "Neutral", class: "impact-neutral" }; if (overallScore >= 4) overallImpact = { text: "Very High Positive Impact", class: "impact-positive-vhigh" }; else if (overallScore >= 3) overallImpact = { text: "High Positive Impact", class: "impact-positive-high" }; else if (overallScore >= 1.5) overallImpact = { text: "Moderate Positive Impact", class: "impact-positive-moderate" }; else if (overallScore <= -2) overallImpact = { text: "High Negative Impact", class: "impact-negative-high" }; else if (overallScore <= -0.5) overallImpact = { text: "Moderate Negative Impact", class: "impact-negative-moderate" }; impactsHTML += ``; // Price Momentum let priceMomentum = { text: "Neutral/Mixed", class: "impact-neutral" }; // Simplified: strong positive adoption and sentiment -> upward if (scores.adoptionScale[inputs.adoptionScale] >= 4 && scores.publicSentiment[inputs.publicSentiment] > 0 && scores.regulatoryClarity[inputs.regulatoryClarity] >=0) { if (overallScore > 2.5) priceMomentum = { text: "Strong Upward", class: "impact-positive-vhigh" }; else if (overallScore > 1) priceMomentum = { text: "Moderate Upward", class: "impact-positive-high" }; } else if (scores.publicSentiment[inputs.publicSentiment] < 0 && scores.regulatoryClarity[inputs.regulatoryClarity] < 0){ if (overallScore < -1.5) priceMomentum = { text: "Strong Downward", class: "impact-negative-high" }; else if (overallScore < 0) priceMomentum = { text: "Moderate Downward", class: "impact-negative-moderate" }; } impactsHTML += ``; if(priceMomentum.text !== "Neutral/Mixed") keyDriversText += `

${getSelectText('adoptionScale')} scale adoption by a ${getSelectText('institutionType').toLowerCase()} and ${getSelectText('publicSentiment').toLowerCase()} sentiment are key for predicted price momentum.

`; // Market Cap Growth Potential (linked to overall score) let mcGrowth = { text: "Moderate", class: "impact-positive-moderate" }; if (overallScore >= 3.5) mcGrowth = { text: "Very Significant", class: "impact-positive-vhigh" }; else if (overallScore >= 2) mcGrowth = { text: "Significant", class: "impact-positive-high" }; else if (overallScore <= 0) mcGrowth = { text: "Low", class: "impact-neutral" }; impactsHTML += ``; // Trading Volume Change let volChange = { text: "Moderate Increase", class: "impact-positive-high" }; if (scores.adoptionScale[inputs.adoptionScale] >= 3 || inputs.institutionType === 'etf_provider') volChange = { text: "Significant Increase", class: "impact-positive-vhigh" }; else if (scores.adoptionScale[inputs.adoptionScale] <=1) volChange = { text: "Minor Increase", class: "impact-positive-moderate" }; impactsHTML += ``; // Liquidity Effect let liquidityEffect = { text: "Moderate Improvement", class: "impact-positive-high" }; if (scores.adoptionScale[inputs.adoptionScale] >= 3 && (inputs.adoptionNature === 'direct_purchase' || inputs.adoptionNature === 'etf_investment' || inputs.adoptionNature === 'trading_services')) { liquidityEffect = { text: "Significant Improvement", class: "impact-positive-vhigh" }; } else if (scores.adoptionScale[inputs.adoptionScale] <= 1) { liquidityEffect = { text: "Minor Improvement", class: "impact-positive-moderate" }; } impactsHTML += ``; // Short-Term Volatility Impact let volatilityImpact = { text: "Increase Moderately", class: "impact-negative-moderate" }; // Default to increase with big news if (inputs.predictionHorizon === 'long_term' && scores.techMaturity[inputs.techMaturity] >= 3 && scores.adoptionScale[inputs.adoptionScale] >=3) { volatilityImpact = { text: "Likely to Decrease Moderately (long-term)", class: "impact-positive-moderate" }; } else if (inputs.institutionType === 'etf_provider') { volatilityImpact = { text: "Increase Significantly (around event)", class: "impact-negative-high" }; } impactsHTML += ``; // Mainstream Adoption Catalyst Potential let catalystPotential = { text: "Moderate", class: "impact-positive-high" }; if (scores.adoptionScale[inputs.adoptionScale] >= 4 && (inputs.institutionType === 'etf_provider' || inputs.institutionType === 'pension_fund' || inputs.institutionType === 'sovereign_wealth' || inputs.institutionType === 'asset_manager')) { catalystPotential = { text: "Very High", class: "impact-positive-vhigh" }; keyDriversText += `

Adoption by a ${getSelectText('institutionType').toLowerCase()} at ${getSelectText('adoptionScale').toLowerCase()} scale significantly boosts mainstream catalyst potential.

`; } else if (scores.adoptionScale[inputs.adoptionScale] <= 2) { catalystPotential = { text: "Low", class: "impact-positive-moderate" }; } impactsHTML += ``; // Regulatory Scrutiny Outlook let regScrutiny = { text: "Likely to Increase Moderately", class: "impact-neutral" }; if (scores.adoptionScale[inputs.adoptionScale] >= 3 || inputs.institutionType === 'etf_provider') { regScrutiny = { text: "Likely to Increase Significantly", class: "impact-negative-moderate" }; // Increased scrutiny isn't always negative in effect, but it's a factor. keyDriversText += `

Significant institutional involvement, especially via products like ETFs, is expected to increase regulatory scrutiny.

`; } else if (scores.regulatoryClarity[inputs.regulatoryClarity] >= 1) { regScrutiny = { text: "No Significant Change (due to existing clarity)", class: "impact-neutral" }; } impactsHTML += ``; predictedImpactsEl.innerHTML = impactsHTML; // Key Drivers if (!keyDriversText) keyDriversText = "

The combination of various factors contributes to the overall prediction. Specific drivers become more prominent with higher impact scenarios.

"; keyDriversEl.innerHTML = `

${keyDriversText}

`; // Risks & Caveats risksCaveatsText = `

• This prediction is heuristic and not financial advice. Market conditions can change rapidly.
• Unforeseen global macroeconomic events can override specific crypto-related factors.
• The ${getSelectText('predictionHorizon').toLowerCase()} timeframe influences the relevance of certain impacts (e.g., short-term volatility vs. long-term stability).
• If regulatory sentiment shifts negatively, especially in key markets, predictions could be adversely affected.
• Success of the underlying cryptocurrency project and its technology remains a fundamental factor.

`; risksCaveatsEl.innerHTML = risksCaveatsText; reportTabButton.disabled = false; updateNavigationButtons(); return true; } function validateAndProcess() { if (validateInputs()) { if(calculateImpactPrediction()){ return true; } else { reportTabButton.disabled = true; updateNavigationButtons(); return false; } } else { reportTabButton.disabled = true; updateNavigationButtons(); return false; } } if (predictButton) { predictButton.addEventListener('click', () => { if(validateAndProcess()){ showTab('reportTab', reportTabButton); } }); } if (downloadPdfButton) { downloadPdfButton.addEventListener('click', () => { const { jsPDF } = window.jspdf; const reportContent = document.getElementById('pdfReportContent'); if (!reportContent) { console.error("PDF report content area not found."); // Add a user-friendly message if element is not found const overallAssessmentEl = document.getElementById('predictedImpacts'); // Fallback element if(overallAssessmentEl) { const p = document.createElement('p'); p.textContent = "Error: Could not generate PDF. Report content missing."; p.className = "error-message text-center"; overallAssessmentEl.appendChild(p); setTimeout(() => p.remove(), 5000); } return; } html2canvas(reportContent, { scale: 2, useCORS: true }) .then(canvas => { const imgData = canvas.toDataURL('image/png'); const pdf = new jsPDF({ orientation: 'p', unit: 'mm', format: 'a4' }); const pdfWidth = pdf.internal.pageSize.getWidth(); const pdfHeight = pdf.internal.pageSize.getHeight(); const ratio = canvas.width / canvas.height; let imgWidth = pdfWidth - 20; // 10mm margin each side let imgHeight = imgWidth / ratio; if (imgHeight > pdfHeight - 20) { imgHeight = pdfHeight - 20; // 10mm margin top/bottom imgWidth = imgHeight * ratio; } const x = (pdfWidth - imgWidth) / 2; const y = 10; pdf.addImage(imgData, 'PNG', x, y, imgWidth, imgHeight); const cryptoNameVal = document.getElementById('cryptoName')?.value.trim() || "institutional_impact"; pdf.save(`${cryptoNameVal.replace(/\s+/g, '_')}_impact_prediction.pdf`); }).catch(error => { console.error("Error generating PDF: ", error); const overallAssessmentEl = document.getElementById('predictedImpacts'); // Fallback if(overallAssessmentEl) { const p = document.createElement('p'); p.textContent = "An error occurred while generating the PDF. Please try again."; p.className = "error-message text-center"; overallAssessmentEl.appendChild(p); setTimeout(() => p.remove(), 5000); } }); }); } updateNavigationButtons(); // Initial call });