AI-Powered Emerging Markets Debt Risk Analyzer

AI-Powered Emerging Markets Debt Risk Analyzer

Analyze potential debt risk in emerging markets based on key economic, external, and governance factors.

Emerging Market Debt Risk Factors

External Debt & Liquidity

Macroeconomic Health

Governance & Global Environment

Disclaimer: This tool provides a simulated AI analysis of emerging markets debt risk for educational and illustrative purposes only. It does not constitute financial, investment, or credit advice. Emerging markets debt is subject to significant volatility and risks. Always consult with qualified financial professionals for critical investment or credit decisions.

This emerging market currently presents a relatively low debt risk profile. While conditions are favorable, emerging markets always carry some inherent volatility. Continuous vigilance is advised. Consider:

  • Staying informed about global economic shifts.
  • Periodically reviewing debt sustainability reports from international bodies.
  • Exploring opportunities for long-term strategic engagement.
`; } // Display results overallDebtRiskLevelSpan.textContent = overallDebtRiskLevel; overallDebtRiskLevelSpan.className = `text-3xl font-extrabold ${riskLevelClass}`; totalDebtRiskScoreSpan.textContent = totalRiskScore; contributingFactorsList.innerHTML = ''; // Clear previous list if (contributingFactors.length === 0) { const li = document.createElement('li'); li.textContent = "No significant high-risk factors identified based on current inputs."; contributingFactorsList.appendChild(li); } else { contributingFactors.forEach(factor => { const li = document.createElement('li'); li.textContent = factor; contributingFactorsList.appendChild(li); }); } recommendationsContentList.innerHTML = recommendationsText; // Inject recommendations // Scroll to analysis results document.getElementById('analysis-results').scrollIntoView({ behavior: 'smooth' }); } /** * Generates a PDF report of the tool's inputs and analysis results. */ async function generatePdf() { // Show loading spinner pdfSpinner.classList.remove('hidden'); downloadPdfBtn.disabled = true; // Disable button during PDF generation // Ensure the analysis is performed and displayed analyzeDebtRisk(); // Create a temporary div to render PDF content into const pdfContentDiv = document.createElement('div'); pdfContentDiv.className = 'pdf-content-hidden'; // Hidden and styled for print document.body.appendChild(pdfContentDiv); // Add title to PDF content const title = document.createElement('h1'); title.className = 'text-2xl font-bold text-gray-800 text-center mb-6'; title.textContent = 'AI-Powered Emerging Markets Debt Risk Report'; pdfContentDiv.appendChild(title); // Helper to create a table for inputs function createInputTable(titleText, inputsArray, currentValuesMap) { const sectionTitle = document.createElement('h2'); sectionTitle.className = 'text-xl font-semibold text-gray-800 mb-4 mt-6'; sectionTitle.textContent = titleText; pdfContentDiv.appendChild(sectionTitle); const table = document.createElement('table'); table.className = 'w-full text-left border-collapse mb-6'; table.innerHTML = ` Factor Value `; const tableBody = table.querySelector('tbody'); pdfContentDiv.appendChild(table); inputsArray.forEach(item => { const row = tableBody.insertRow(); const labelCell = row.insertCell(); const valueCell = row.insertCell(); labelCell.className = 'py-2 px-4 border-b border-gray-200'; valueCell.className = 'py-2 px-4 border-b border-gray-200'; labelCell.textContent = item.label; valueCell.textContent = currentValuesMap[item.id]; }); } // Collect current values from live DOM for PDF const currentExternalDebtValues = { externalDebtToGdp: document.getElementById('externalDebtToGdp').value + '%', shortTermDebtToReserves: document.getElementById('shortTermDebtToReserves').value + '%', foreignCurrencyDebtRatio: document.getElementById('foreignCurrencyDebtRatio').value + '%', internationalReservesMonths: document.getElementById('internationalReservesMonths').value + ' months' }; const externalDebtInputsDef = [ { id: 'externalDebtToGdp', label: 'External Debt to GDP' }, { id: 'shortTermDebtToReserves', label: 'Short-term External Debt to Reserves' }, { id: 'foreignCurrencyDebtRatio', label: 'Foreign Currency Debt to Total Debt' }, { id: 'internationalReservesMonths', label: 'International Reserves (Months of Imports)' } ]; createInputTable('External Debt & Liquidity Inputs', externalDebtInputsDef, currentExternalDebtValues); const currentMacroeconomicValues = { currentAccountBalance: document.getElementById('currentAccountBalance').value + '%', fiscalDeficit: document.getElementById('fiscalDeficit').value + '%', inflationRate: document.getElementById('inflationRate').value + '%', realGdpGrowth: document.getElementById('realGdpGrowth').value + '%' }; const macroeconomicInputsDef = [ { id: 'currentAccountBalance', label: 'Current Account Balance (% of GDP)' }, { id: 'fiscalDeficit', label: 'Fiscal Deficit (% of GDP)' }, { id: 'inflationRate', label: 'Inflation Rate (%)' }, { id: 'realGdpGrowth', label: 'Real GDP Growth Rate (%)' } ]; createInputTable('Macroeconomic Health Inputs', macroeconomicInputsDef, currentMacroeconomicValues); const currentGovernanceGlobalValues = { politicalStability: document.getElementById('politicalStability').options[document.getElementById('politicalStability').selectedIndex].text, ruleOfLawCorruption: document.getElementById('ruleOfLawCorruption').options[document.getElementById('ruleOfLawCorruption').selectedIndex].text, centralBankIndependence: document.getElementById('centralBankIndependence').options[document.getElementById('centralBankIndependence').selectedIndex].text, globalLiquidity: document.getElementById('globalLiquidity').options[document.getElementById('globalLiquidity').selectedIndex].text, globalRiskAppetite: document.getElementById('globalRiskAppetite').options[document.getElementById('globalRiskAppetite').selectedIndex].text }; const governanceGlobalInputsDef = [ { id: 'politicalStability', label: 'Political Stability' }, { id: 'ruleOfLawCorruption', label: 'Rule of Law / Corruption Perception' }, { id: 'centralBankIndependence', label: 'Central Bank Independence' }, { id: 'globalLiquidity', label: 'Global Liquidity Conditions' }, { id: 'globalRiskAppetite', label: 'Global Risk Appetite' } ]; createInputTable('Governance & Global Environment Inputs', governanceGlobalInputsDef, currentGovernanceGlobalValues); // --- Section: AI Analysis & Allocation --- const analysisResultsSection = document.createElement('div'); analysisResultsSection.className = 'mt-8 p-6 bg-gray-50 rounded-lg shadow-inner'; analysisResultsSection.innerHTML = `

Emerging Market Debt Risk Assessment

Overall Emerging Markets Debt Risk:

${overallDebtRiskLevelSpan.textContent}
Total Risk Score: ${totalDebtRiskScoreSpan.textContent} (Higher score = Higher risk)

Key Contributing Factors:

    ${contributingFactorsList.innerHTML}
`; pdfContentDiv.appendChild(analysisResultsSection); // --- Section: Strategic Recommendations --- const recommendationsSection = document.createElement('div'); recommendationsSection.className = 'mt-8 p-6 bg-blue-50 rounded-lg shadow-inner text-gray-700'; recommendationsSection.innerHTML = `

Strategic Guidance:

    ${recommendationsContentList.innerHTML}
`; pdfContentDiv.appendChild(recommendationsSection); try { const canvas = await html2canvas(pdfContentDiv, { scale: 2, // Increase scale for better resolution in PDF useCORS: true // Required if you have external images/resources (though none here) }); const imgData = canvas.toDataURL('image/png'); const { jsPDF } = window.jspdf; const pdf = new jsPDF({ orientation: 'portrait', unit: 'px', format: 'a4' }); const imgWidth = pdf.internal.pageSize.getWidth() - 40; // Subtract margins (20px each side) const imgHeight = (canvas.height * imgWidth) / canvas.width; let position = 20; // Initial Y position with top margin pdf.addImage(imgData, 'PNG', 20, position, imgWidth, imgHeight); // Handle multi-page PDF for long content let heightLeft = imgHeight; heightLeft -= (pdf.internal.pageSize.getHeight() - 40); // Subtract current page usable height while (heightLeft >= -5) { // Adjusted condition to catch slightly overflowing content position = heightLeft - imgHeight + 20; // Calculate position for next page pdf.addPage(); pdf.addImage(imgData, 'PNG', 20, position, imgWidth, imgHeight); heightLeft -= (pdf.internal.pageSize.getHeight() - 40); } pdf.save('AI_EM_Debt_Risk_Report.pdf'); } catch (error) { console.error("Error generating PDF:", error); // Provide user feedback without alert() const messageBox = document.createElement('div'); messageBox.textContent = "Failed to generate PDF. Please try again or check console for details."; messageBox.style.cssText = ` position: fixed; top: 50%; left: 50%; transform: translate(-50%, -50%); background-color: #f8d7da; color: #721c24; padding: 15px 25px; border-radius: 8px; border: 1px solid #f5c6cb; z-index: 1000; box-shadow: 0 4px 12px rgba(0,0,0,0.2); font-family: 'Inter', sans-serif; `; document.body.appendChild(messageBox); setTimeout(() => messageBox.remove(), 5000); // Remove after 5 seconds } finally { // Hide loading spinner and re-enable button pdfSpinner.classList.add('hidden'); downloadPdfBtn.disabled = false; // Remove the temporary PDF content div from the DOM if (pdfContentDiv.parentNode) { pdfContentDiv.parentNode.removeChild(pdfContentDiv); } } } });
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