Fisher Investments and Small-Cap Value Investing A Comprehensive Analysis

Fisher Investments and Small-Cap Value Investing: A Comprehensive Analysis

Introduction

Small-cap value investing is a strategy that focuses on companies with low market capitalizations that appear undervalued based on fundamental metrics. Historically, small-cap value stocks have delivered superior long-term returns compared to large-cap stocks, albeit with greater volatility. Fisher Investments, known for its data-driven and client-focused investment philosophy, incorporates a diversified approach that may include small-cap value stocks when suitable for clients’ objectives. In this article, I will explore small-cap value investing, Fisher Investments’ perspective, and key financial metrics used in stock selection.

What is Small-Cap Value Investing?

Small-cap value stocks are shares of companies with market capitalizations typically ranging from $300 million to $2 billion. These stocks are considered undervalued based on financial ratios such as Price-to-Earnings (P/E) and Price-to-Book (P/B). Small-cap value investing is appealing because:

  • These stocks often experience faster growth than large-cap stocks.
  • They are more likely to be overlooked by institutional investors, leading to potential mispricings.
  • Historically, they have provided higher risk-adjusted returns over long periods.

The expected return for a small-cap value investment can be modeled using the Capital Asset Pricing Model (CAPM):

E(R) = R_f + \beta (R_m - R_f)

where:

  • E(R) = Expected return of the stock
  • R_f = Risk-free rate
  • β= Beta coefficient (measure of volatility relative to the market)
  • R_m = Expected market return

Fisher Investments’ Approach to Small-Cap Value

Fisher Investments does not exclusively market a “small-cap value” strategy but considers it within a broader portfolio context. The firm’s investment approach prioritizes:

  • Global diversification to reduce concentration risk.
  • Macroeconomic analysis to identify sectors likely to outperform.
  • Fundamental research to find mispriced assets.

When small-cap value stocks align with a client’s risk tolerance and investment goals, Fisher Investments may include them in a diversified portfolio.

Key Metrics for Small-Cap Value Stock Selection

Investors use various financial metrics to evaluate small-cap value stocks:

  • Price-to-Earnings (P/E) Ratio: Measures how much investors are willing to pay per dollar of earnings.
P/E = \frac{Market\ Price\ per\ Share}{Earnings\ per\ Share}

Price-to-Book (P/B) Ratio: Compares a company’s market price to its book value.

P/B = \frac{Market\ Price\ per\ Share}{Book\ Value\ per\ Share}

Return on Equity (ROE): Measures a company’s profitability relative to shareholder equity.

ROE = \frac{Net\ Income}{Shareholder\ Equity}

Debt-to-Equity (D/E) Ratio: Assesses a company’s financial leverage.

D/E = \frac{Total\ Debt}{Shareholder\ Equity}

Historical Performance of Small-Cap Value Stocks

Studies show that small-cap value stocks have outperformed other asset classes over long time horizons. According to data from Fama and French, the average annualized return of small-cap value stocks from 1926 to 2020 exceeded that of large-cap growth stocks.

Asset ClassAnnualized Return (%)
Small-Cap Value13.5
Large-Cap Value10.5
Small-Cap Growth9.2
Large-Cap Growth8.5

This performance advantage is attributed to the value premium, which suggests that stocks trading at lower valuation multiples tend to outperform over time.

Risks and Considerations

While small-cap value stocks present compelling opportunities, they also come with risks:

  • Higher volatility: These stocks tend to have larger price swings.
  • Liquidity concerns: Lower trading volumes can make it harder to buy or sell shares.
  • Economic sensitivity: Small-cap companies are more affected by economic downturns.

The risk-adjusted return of small-cap value stocks can be measured using the Sharpe Ratio:

Sharpe\ Ratio = \frac{E(R) - R_f}{\sigma}

where:

  • E(R) = Expected portfolio return
  • R_f = Risk-free rate
  • σ = Standard deviation of portfolio returns

A higher Sharpe Ratio indicates a better risk-adjusted return.

Conclusion

Small-cap value investing has historically been a rewarding strategy for long-term investors willing to endure volatility. While Fisher Investments does not focus exclusively on small-cap value, it incorporates these stocks into client portfolios when appropriate. By focusing on data-driven analysis, fundamental metrics, and global diversification, the firm helps investors navigate the complexities of small-cap value investing. Investors considering small-cap value stocks should maintain a long-term perspective and ensure their portfolios align with their risk tolerance and financial goals.

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